近日，浙江大学中国农村发展研究院、公管学院数智三农实验室博士生冯浩（第一作者）、梁杰和长聘副教授鄢贞（通讯作者）的学术论文“Meteorological disasters and labor allocation in rural China: A gendered perspective”正式发表在国际期刊World Development。World Development是全球发展研究的顶级期刊和发展经济学的权威期刊，涵盖发展研究、经济学、社会学和政治学等多学科，致力于探究发展问题的潜在解决方案，2024年影响因子为4.8。

本研究是团队在外部冲击与农业食物系统转型发展领域的阶段性成果之一，得到国家自然科学基金（项目号72161147001和72073118）、教育部人文社科重点研究基地重大项目（项目号22JJD790079）、教育部社科重大项目（项目号2024JZDZ062）和浙江大学“文科+X”博士生科研项目（项目号S纵20250243）的资助。

英文摘要

Rural households engage in labor allocation to tackle agricultural loss stemming from meteorological shocks, whereas the intra-household allocation strategy remains unclear in this process. This study examines the impact of meteorological disasters on the allocation of labor within rural households from the perspective of gender heterogeneity. We construct a meteorological disaster index and investigate its impact on rural labor markets in China by using 15 years of longitudinal data from the China Health and Nutrition Survey. Our analysis reveals significant gender disparities in rural labor allocation in response to meteorological disasters, with one standard deviation increase in the meteorological disaster index from the last year elevating the proportion of male non-farm employment by 3.00 % and posing no effect for females. This structural shift results in a reduction in females’ investment in non-farm activities and an increase in their engagement in farm work and household chores. We identify three critical factors that contribute to this gender-differentiated impact: industry affiliation differences, variations in expected returns, and gendered social norms. Our findings highlight the unequal impact of meteorological disasters on rural labor markets and provide novel insights for the formulation of targeted policies aimed at enhancing women’s resilience and adaptability in job markets affected by natural disasters.

原文链接

https://doi.org/10.1016/j.worlddev.2025.107102

作者简介

鄢贞，浙江大学中国农村发展研究院长聘副教授、博士生导师、正高级，美国伊利诺伊大学香槟分校博士后，浙江大学农经所副所长、数智三农实验室副主任。围绕农业大数据、绿色消费、可持续发展、农村资源环境与健康等议题，在World Development, Australian Journal of Agricultural and Resource Economics, Global Food Security, Aquaculture和《中国工程科学》《农业经济问题》等国内外领域高质量学术期刊发表30余篇学术论文；主持科技部重点研发项目子课题2项，国家自科基金2项，省部级课题多项，获得教育部、国家海洋局、浙江省科技厅/省社科联等奖励，多项政策咨询报告获中央相关重要部门及省厅领导肯定性批示与采纳。

冯浩，浙江大学中国农村发展研究院和公管学院数智三农实验室博士研究生，研究论文发表在World Development, Agricultural Economics, Aquaculture等SCI/SSCI期刊。

梁杰，浙江大学中国农村发展研究院、公管学院数智三农实验室博士研究生，浙江大学社科院“文科+X”多学科交叉人才培养卓越中心交叉培养博士生，获首批“文科+X”博士生科研项目。研究兴趣为环境经济学。研究论文发表在World Development, Aquaculture等SCI/SSCI期刊。