主讲题目：Temperature Effects on Mortality and Household Adaptation: Evidence from China

主讲人：王敏 副教授，北京大学国家发展研究院

主持人：龚斌磊 研究员，浙江大学百人计划学者

时间：5月2日（周三）下午14:00-16:00

地点：浙江大学紫金港校区启真大厦1213

主讲人简介：

王敏，经济学博士，现任北京大学国家发展研究院副教授。2010年博士毕业于爱荷华州立大学经济系，2005年硕士毕业于浙江大学农业经济与管理系，2002年本科毕业于浙江大学农业经济与管理系。2011年1月至6月在密歇根州立大学环境科学和政策中心博士后工作站工作，2011年9月至今任国发院助理教授。他在Economic Theory、Journal of Environmental Economics and Management、《经济研究》、《管理世界》、《世界经济》等中英文期刊上已发表十余篇论文。主要研究兴趣集中在环境与资源经济学、能源经济学、公共政策和经济增长等方面。

摘要：This paper examines the effects of extreme temperatures on mortality rates using random year-to-year variation in temperature based on a county-level panel in China. We find a robust U-shaped relationship between temperature and mortality rates, indicating that extreme cold or hot temperature will lead to excess deaths. The effect is two and a half times larger than previous findings that use U.S. data. The effects are especially large for the old, mainly due to excess deaths caused by cardiovascular diseases. We also find evidence that residents living in cold counties are less vulnerable to cold days, but are more vulnerable to hot days than those living in hot counties. We then explore households’ adaptation behaviors to extreme temperatures. Interestingly, we find that, although urban households increase energy consumption when exposed to cold temperatures and purchase more air conditioners both on hot or cold days, both of these consumptions of rural households are unresponsive to temperature fluctuations, implying that rural people may suffer more from extreme temperatures.